2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook

Posted at 10:45 a.m.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s (NOAA) Climate Prediction Center is predicting that a near-normal Atlantic hurricane season is most likely this year. This outlook forecasts a 40% chance of a near-normal season, a 30% chance of an above-normal season and a 30% chance of a below-normal season.

The hurricane season officially began on June 1 and runs through Nov. 30.

2019-atlantic-hurricane-season.png

For 2019, NOAA predicts a likely range of nine to 15 named storms (winds of 39 mph or higher), of which four to eight could become hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or higher), including two to four major hurricanes (category 3, 4 or 5; with winds of 111 mph or higher). NOAA provides these ranges with a 70% confidence.

An average hurricane season produces 12 named storms, of which six become hurricanes, including three major hurricanes.

NOAA’s outlook is for overall seasonal activity and is not a landfall forecast.

Visit the National Hurricane Center’s website throughout the season to stay current on any watches and warnings.


Fairfax AlertsSign up for severe weather alerts from Fairfax Alerts

Tags: , ,

About Fairfax County Emergency Information

Official emergency information about preparedness, response and recovery from Fairfax County Government.

Comments? Questions?

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s