Climate Prediction Center Issues U.S. Winter Outlook

NOAA Forecasters Predict Cooler, Wetter North and Warmer, Drier South

Posted at 11 a.m.

Yesterday, the forecasters at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Adminstration’s (NOAA) Climate Prediction Center released the U.S. Winter Outlook, with La Niña potentially emerging for the second year in a row as the biggest wildcard in how this year’s winter will shape up.

“If La Niña conditions develop, we predict it will be weak and potentially short-lived, but it could still shape the character of the upcoming winter,” said Mike Halpert, deputy director of NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center.

“Typical La Niña patterns during winter include above average precipitation and colder than average temperatures along the Northern Tier of the U.S. and below normal precipitation and drier conditions across the South.”

In this video, Halpert explains the 2017-18 winter outlook.

NOAA’s seasonal outlooks give the likelihood that temperature and precipitation will be above-, near, or below-average, and also how drought is expected to change, but do not project seasonal snowfall accumulations. Snow forecasts are generally not predictable more than a week in advance because they depend upon the strength and track of winter storms.

The U.S. Winter Outlook will be updated on Nov. 16.

Be Ready For Any Weather

snow shovelWhether it’s a warmer, drier winter or a colder, wetter one with lots of snow, you and your family need to be prepared.

The first thing to do is sign up for our free severe weather alerts from Fairfax Alerts. You can also get severe traffic alerts and other notifications.

Next, make sure your family has an emergency supply kit at home and that you have emergency kits at work and in every vehicle. Learn how to make your kit and what supplies you need to have.

Prepare now and be ready for whatever “Old Man Winter” throws at us this year!


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